Dustin
Moderator
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Number crunching so far: Marquez fastest, Viñales only rider anywhere near, a decent group behind them (and you know once the flag drops Rossi will find a tenth or two). Zarco and Folger are both fast, Zarco is really impressive though, smart and thorough. Iannone is fast, but he's a dick. Was being a dick to fans all week (telling them to go away in an unpleasant Italian way). Lorenzo will be quick, but he will need the tests.
KTM have a metric shitload of work to do. They brought three chassis and a selection of swing arms, as well as all sorts of other bits and pieces. They will need the first year to get the bike sorted, but they are already where Suzuki are in 2015. Kallio will get some wild card rides in 2017.
Anyway, put your money on Marquez. You'll get terrible odds, but a good chance of a return.